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Neighborhood · Wilmington, OH

Wilmington Commercial Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 8,664 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.1–5.3

Wilmington Commercial Historic District is a 2-tract neighborhood of Wilmington, OH, population 8,664. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.2/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 41% against 24.2% citywide, putting Wilmington Commercial Historic District 17.0% over its own city.

27% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.

On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Court records carry 1,400 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

At $762 a month, rents sit 16% under what the rest of Wilmington commands. Filing activity peaked in 2006 at 13.1% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 5.8% in 2016, is well off that peak. Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.2 points apart at the extremes.

46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Wilmington Commercial Historic District vs Wilmington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
41.2% +70%
Wilmington: 24.2%
Average gross rent
$762 -16%
Wilmington: $909
Average HH income
$51,933 -1%
Wilmington: $52,661
Poverty rate
22.3% +5%
Wilmington: 21.2%
Renter share
45.6% +9%
Wilmington: 41.8%
Geographic context

Risk heat across Wilmington Commercial Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.1–5.3

Why Wilmington Commercial Historic District scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
46% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Economic stress
22.3% below poverty line · Range 5.5–5.8 across tracts
5.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

Wilmington Commercial Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Wilmington Commercial Historic District score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.2Wilmington CommercNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.0Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Wilmington Commercial Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
39027964700 5.3 5,910 39% $761
39027964600 5.1 2,754 46% $764
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 66

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 62%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 63%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 24%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Wilmington Commercial Historic District

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,400Total filings (sum)
  • 7.23%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.1%Peak year (2006)
  • 5.88%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Wilmington Commercial Historic District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Wilmington Commercial Historic District

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Wilmington Commercial Historic District?

Wilmington Commercial Historic District scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Wilmington Commercial Historic District compare to Wilmington overall?

Wilmington Commercial Historic District scores 1.2 points higher than Wilmington overall (4/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 24% citywide. Average rent: $762 vs $909.
Q3

What is the average rent in Wilmington Commercial Historic District?

Average gross rent in Wilmington Commercial Historic District is $762/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Wilmington Commercial Historic District residents are renters?

46% of Wilmington Commercial Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Wilmington). The neighborhood has 8,664 residents.
Q5

Is Wilmington Commercial Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Wilmington Commercial Historic District sits in the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Wilmington Commercial Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Wilmington Commercial Historic District is census tract 39027964700 (score 5.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.1 to 5.3, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Wilmington Commercial Historic District for landlords?

Wilmington Commercial Historic District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Wilmington as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Wilmington Commercial Historic District?

Wilmington Commercial Historic District has 8,666 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (85.9%), Other / Multiracial (5.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (4.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
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