Wilmington Commercial Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate
2 census tracts · pop 8,664 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10
· range 5.1–5.3
Wilmington Commercial Historic District is a 2-tract neighborhood of Wilmington, OH, population 8,664. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.2/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 41% against 24.2% citywide, putting Wilmington Commercial Historic District 17.0% over its own city.
27% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.
On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Court records carry 1,400 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.
At $762 a month, rents sit 16% under what the rest of Wilmington commands. Filing activity peaked in 2006 at 13.1% of renter households.
The most recent observed rate, 5.8% in 2016, is well off that peak. Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.2 points apart at the extremes.
46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Wilmington Commercial Historic District vs WilmingtonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
41.2%+70%
Wilmington: 24.2%
Average gross rent
$762-16%
Wilmington: $909
Average HH income
$51,933-1%
Wilmington: $52,661
Poverty rate
22.3%+5%
Wilmington: 21.2%
Renter share
45.6%+9%
Wilmington: 41.8%
Geographic context
Risk heat across Wilmington Commercial Historic District and the region
Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.1–5.3
Why Wilmington Commercial Historic District scores 5.2
9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
46% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Economic stress
22.3% below poverty line · Range 5.5–5.8 across tracts
5.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison
Wilmington Commercial Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.
Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).
Census tracts
2 tracts in Wilmington Commercial Historic District
Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority24%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Wilmington Commercial Historic District
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,400Total filings (sum)
7.23%Avg annual filing rate
13.1%Peak year (2006)
5.88%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Wilmington Commercial Historic District
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
13.0%Housing insecurity
9.9%Utility shutoff threat
17.0%Food insecurity
14.9%SNAP enrollment
8.5%No health insurance
33.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Wilmington Commercial Historic District
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Wilmington Commercial Historic District?
Wilmington Commercial Historic District scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Wilmington Commercial Historic District compare to Wilmington overall?
Wilmington Commercial Historic District scores 1.2 points higher than Wilmington overall (4/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 24% citywide. Average rent: $762 vs $909.
Q3
What is the average rent in Wilmington Commercial Historic District?
Average gross rent in Wilmington Commercial Historic District is $762/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Wilmington Commercial Historic District residents are renters?
46% of Wilmington Commercial Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Wilmington). The neighborhood has 8,664 residents.
Q5
Is Wilmington Commercial Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?
Wilmington Commercial Historic District sits in the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Wilmington Commercial Historic District have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Wilmington Commercial Historic District is census tract 39027964700 (score 5.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.1 to 5.3, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7
How safe is Wilmington Commercial Historic District for landlords?
Wilmington Commercial Historic District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Wilmington as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Wilmington Commercial Historic District?
Wilmington Commercial Historic District has 8,666 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (85.9%), Other / Multiracial (5.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (4.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.