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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Wilmington Commercial Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39027964700 · Clinton County, OH · pop 5,910 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 5.1/10, tract 39027964700 in Wilmington Commercial Historic District in Wilmington ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,910 residents. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 39% of renter households, a high level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $761 a month while the average household earns $48,569 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 26% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units2,049
Renter share42.4%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate21.9%
Median income$48,569

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Wilmington Commercial Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Wilmington
Very High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 10 tracts In Clinton County
High
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#667 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Wilmington and the region

Centroid at 39.4277, -83.8285 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wilmington Commercial Historic District scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Wilmington
3.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.4
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
21.9% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$761 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilmington
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilmington
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilmington
6.2

How Wilmington Commercial Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Wilmington Commercial Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 964700Wilmington: 2.52.5Wilmingtonparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 795Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 7.59%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.1%Peak (2006)
  • 66Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390279647002002: 90 filings (10.47/100 renter HHs)2004: 68 filings (7.91/100 renter HHs)2005: 81 filings (10.28/100 renter HHs)2006: 103 filings (13.07/100 renter HHs)2007: 74 filings (9.39/100 renter HHs)2008: 52 filings (6.60/100 renter HHs)2009: 51 filings (6.47/100 renter HHs)2010: 39 filings (4.59/100 renter HHs)2011: 55 filings (5.24/100 renter HHs)2014: 56 filings (5.34/100 renter HHs)2015: 60 filings (5.72/100 renter HHs)2016: 66 filings (6.01/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 27% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Wilmington Commercial Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Wilmington Commercial Historic District

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Wilmington, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Clinton County average of 4.8 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 795 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 7.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 13.1% of renter households in 2006.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39027964700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39027964700?

Census tract 39027964700 in the Wilmington Commercial Historic District neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39027964700?

Median gross rent is $761/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39027964700?

21.9% of residents in tract 39027964700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,910.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39027964700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 73th, minority 28th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 39027964700 considered part of Wilmington Commercial Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39027964700 fall within Wilmington Commercial Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39027964700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 795 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39027964700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.59% of renter households, peaking at 13.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39027964700 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39027964700 compare to Wilmington overall?

Tract 39027964700 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Wilmington at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilmington; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Wilmington

Top eight tracts in Wilmington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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