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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,326 of 84,120 nationally

Garrett Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , East Cleveland

Tract 39035151800 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 1,426 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Eviction risk in the Garrett Square neighborhood of East Cleveland centers on tract 39035151800, which scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 1,426 residents. It lands near the 97th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 74% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $795 monthly, set against $26,458 in average yearly household income, roughly 36% of income at the averages. Renters make up 66% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 17% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units563
Renter share65.9%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate45.1%
Median income$26,458

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 5 tracts In Garrett Square
High
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileBottomTop
#3 of 10 tracts In East Cleveland
High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileBottomTop
#27 of 427 tracts In Cuyahoga County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileBottomTop
#41 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across East Cleveland and the region

Centroid at 41.5256, -81.5952 · click any tract to drill in

Why Garrett Square scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East Cleveland
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
45.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$795 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Cleveland
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Cleveland
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Cleveland
8.9

How Garrett Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Garrett Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.36.3This tracttract 151800East Cleveland: 6.16.1East Clevelandparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 625Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 10.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.0%Peak (2006)
  • 54Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390351518002004: 38 filings (7.01/100 renter HHs)2005: 54 filings (12.19/100 renter HHs)2006: 71 filings (16.03/100 renter HHs)2007: 44 filings (9.93/100 renter HHs)2008: 56 filings (12.64/100 renter HHs)2009: 66 filings (14.90/100 renter HHs)2010: 54 filings (11.00/100 renter HHs)2011: 55 filings (11.11/100 renter HHs)2012: 41 filings (8.28/100 renter HHs)2013: 46 filings (9.29/100 renter HHs)2015: 46 filings (9.29/100 renter HHs)2016: 54 filings (9.49/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 42% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Garrett Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Garrett Square

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from East Cleveland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 33.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 30.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035151800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035151800?

Census tract 39035151800 in the Garrett Square neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39035151800?

Median gross rent is $795/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035151800?

45.1% of residents in tract 39035151800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,426.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035151800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 93th, minority 98th, housing 46th.

Q5

Is tract 39035151800 considered part of Garrett Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035151800 fall within Garrett Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035151800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 625 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035151800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.93% of renter households, peaking at 16.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 39035151800 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 30.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 39035151800 compare to East Cleveland overall?

Tract 39035151800 scores 6.3/10, right in line with the parent city of East Cleveland at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Cleveland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q9

Was tract 39035151800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 7% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East Cleveland

Top eight tracts in East Cleveland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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