Neighborhood · Ranked #21,326 of 84,120 nationally

Garrett Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , East Cleveland

Tract 39035151500 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 1,034 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Here is how census tract 39035151500, in Garrett Square in East Cleveland eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 7.3/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 1,034. On the national scale it ranks #2,475 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $847 a month against an average household income of $31,899 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 81% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.3

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 38% Owners 19%

Tract context

Occupied units357

Renter share80.7%

SVI overall0.91

Poverty rate50.4%

Median income$31,899

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across East Cleveland and the region

Centroid at 41.5267, -81.5862 · click any tract to drill in

Why Garrett Square scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from East Cleveland

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.7

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

50.4% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$847 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from East Cleveland

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from East Cleveland

9.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from East Cleveland

8.9

How Garrett Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

93%Socioeconomic
82%Household composition
88%Racial/ethnic minority
70%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
83%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

1,025Total filings over 12 yrs
21.23%Avg annual filing rate
35.1%Peak (2016)
121Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2004 to 2016

Filings climbed 227% over the past 12 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Garrett Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

34.9%Housing insecurity
31.1%Utility-shutoff threat
49.3%Food insecurity
53.0%SNAP enrollment
24.2%Transit barriers
15.6%No health insurance
20.9%Frequent mental distress
47.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Garrett Square

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from East Cleveland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,025 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 21.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 35.1% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035151500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035151500?

Census tract 39035151500 in the Garrett Square neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39035151500?

Median gross rent is $847/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035151500?

50.4% of residents in tract 39035151500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,034.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035151500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 82th, minority 88th, housing 70th.

Is tract 39035151500 considered part of Garrett Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035151500 fall within Garrett Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035151500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,025 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035151500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.23% of renter households, peaking at 35.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 39035151500 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 31.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39035151500 compare to East Cleveland overall?

Tract 39035151500 scores 6.3/10, right in line with the parent city of East Cleveland at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Cleveland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39035151500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East Cleveland

Top eight tracts in East Cleveland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.