Neighborhood · Ranked #47,006 of 84,120 nationally

Hickory Branch Trail Eviction Risk: Moderate , Strongsville

Tract 39035186103 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 5,017 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

How risky is the Hickory Branch Trail area of Strongsville for landlords? Census tract 39035186103 scores 4.8/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

37% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $696 monthly, set against $110,682 in average yearly household income, roughly 8% of income at the averages. About 9% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 6% Owners 91%

Tract context

Occupied units2,034

Renter share9.3%

SVI overall0.12

Poverty rate5.6%

Median income$110,682

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Strongsville and the region

Centroid at 41.3215, -81.8573 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hickory Branch Trail scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Strongsville

4.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.7

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

5.6% poverty · this tract

1.4

Supply constraint

$696 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Strongsville

4.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Strongsville

4.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Strongsville

4.0

How Hickory Branch Trail compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

13%Socioeconomic
34%Household composition
9%Racial/ethnic minority
19%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

53Total filings over 11 yrs
9.35%Avg annual filing rate
7.0%Peak (2010)
3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2004 to 2016

Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hickory Branch Trail. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.8%Housing insecurity
4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
6.9%Food insecurity
4.7%SNAP enrollment
4.1%Transit barriers
4.8%No health insurance
12.3%Frequent mental distress
25.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hickory Branch Trail

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 4.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Strongsville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 53 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 9.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.0% of renter households in 2010.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035186103

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035186103?

Census tract 39035186103 in the Hickory Branch Trail neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39035186103?

Median gross rent is $696/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035186103?

5.6% of residents in tract 39035186103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,017.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035186103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 34th, minority 9th, housing 19th.

Is tract 39035186103 considered part of Hickory Branch Trail?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035186103 fall within Hickory Branch Trail (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035186103?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 53 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39035186103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.35% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 39035186103 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39035186103 compare to Strongsville overall?

Tract 39035186103 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Strongsville at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Strongsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Strongsville

Top eight tracts in Strongsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.