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Neighborhood · Strongsville, OH

Hickory Branch Trail Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,676 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 4.3-4.6

Hickory Branch Trail is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Strongsville with 2 census tracts and a population of 7,676 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 37% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 28% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $870/month sits 33% lower than the Strongsville citywide average ($1,302).

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Hickory Branch Trail vs Strongsville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
37.2% +35%
Strongsville: 27.6%
Average gross rent
$870 -33%
Strongsville: $1,302
Average HH income
$105,958 +3%
Strongsville: $102,574
Poverty rate
6.5% +26%
Strongsville: 5.1%
Renter share
10.3% -43%
Strongsville: 18.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Hickory Branch Trail and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.3-4.6

Why Hickory Branch Trail scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4-2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.7-6.7 across tracts
6.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.4-4.4 across tracts
4.4
Rent control risk
37% of income on rent · Range 4.8-4.8 across tracts
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.9-1.9 across tracts
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
10% renter households · Range 4.3-4.3 across tracts
4.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0-4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
6.5% below poverty line · Range 1.4-2.0 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0-4.9 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

Hickory Branch Trail vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0-10 scale).

Hickory Branch Trail score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Hickory Branch Tra: 4.44.4Hickory Branch TraNeighborhoodParent city: 4.74.7Parent cityhost cityState: 4.64.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Hickory Branch Trail

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
39035186104 4.6 2,659 37% $1,197
39035186103 4.3 5,017 37% $696
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 14

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 16%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 35%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 11%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 21%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Hickory Branch Trail

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 174Total filings (sum)
  • 9.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.5%Peak year (2010)
  • 2.14%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Hickory Branch Trail

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Hickory Branch Trail

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Hickory Branch Trail?

Hickory Branch Trail scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Hickory Branch Trail compare to Strongsville overall?

Hickory Branch Trail scores 0.3 points lower than Strongsville overall (4.7/10). Renters spend 37% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $870 vs $1,302.

Q3

What is the average rent in Hickory Branch Trail?

Average gross rent in Hickory Branch Trail is $870/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Hickory Branch Trail residents are renters?

10% of Hickory Branch Trail households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in Strongsville). The neighborhood has 7,676 residents.

Q5

Is Hickory Branch Trail a high social-vulnerability area?

Hickory Branch Trail sits in the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Hickory Branch Trail have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Hickory Branch Trail is census tract 39035186104 (score 4.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.3 to 4.6, a spread of 0.3 points.

Q7

How safe is Hickory Branch Trail for landlords?

Hickory Branch Trail carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Strongsville as a whole (4.7/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Hickory Branch Trail?

Hickory Branch Trail has 7,588 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (92.8%), Hispanic / Latino (2.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (2.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Hickory Branch Trail

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Strongsville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Hickory Branch Trail.

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