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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Van Aken District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Shaker Heights

Tract 39035188103 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 3,243 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 39035188103 covers part of the Van Aken District area of Warrensville Heights, OH, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,243 residents. Cost burden runs roughly one in four here against 43.0% across Cuyahoga County.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 11% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,239
Renter share14.8%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$67,083

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Van Aken District
Very High
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Shaker Heights
Very Low
Within county
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#236 of 427 tracts In Cuyahoga County
Moderate
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#1,370 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Shaker Heights and the region

Centroid at 41.4506, -81.5400 · click any tract to drill in

Why Van Aken District scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Shaker Heights
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,348 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shaker Heights
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shaker Heights
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shaker Heights
6.6

How Van Aken District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Van Aken District risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 1881034.0Shaker Heightsparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 337Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 15.28%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.9%Peak (2016)
  • 52Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39035188103
Filings climbed 478% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Van Aken District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Van Aken District

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. At $1,348 a month, rents run 29% over what the rest of Warrensville Heights commands. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 337 evictions over 12 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 15.9% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Cleveland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 15.3% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 6.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035188103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035188103?

Census tract 39035188103 in the Van Aken District neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39035188103?

Median gross rent is $1,348/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035188103?

9.1% of residents in tract 39035188103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,243.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035188103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 88th, minority 97th, housing 18th.
Q5

Is tract 39035188103 considered part of Van Aken District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035188103 fall within Van Aken District (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035188103?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 337 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035188103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.28% of renter households, peaking at 15.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39035188103 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39035188103 compare to Shaker Heights overall?

Tract 39035188103 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Shaker Heights at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39035188103 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Shaker Heights

Top eight tracts in Shaker Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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