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Neighborhood · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally

Van Aken District Eviction Risk: Lower , Shaker Heights

Tract 39035131105 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 3,584 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Eviction risk in the Van Aken District neighborhood of Shaker Heights centers on tract 39035131105, which scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,584 residents. That is riskier than roughly 71% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,860 a month against an average household income of $110,054 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 23% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,716
Renter share41.3%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$110,054

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Van Aken District
Very Low
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Shaker Heights
Low
Within county
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#385 of 427 tracts In Cuyahoga County
Very Low
Within state
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#2,828 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Shaker Heights and the region

Centroid at 41.4674, -81.5109 · click any tract to drill in

Why Van Aken District scores 1.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Shaker Heights
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,860 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shaker Heights
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shaker Heights
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shaker Heights
4.1

How Van Aken District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Van Aken District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.81.8This tracttract 131105Shaker Heights: 2.72.7Shaker Heightsparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Van Aken District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Van Aken District

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035131105

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035131105?

Census tract 39035131105 in the Van Aken District neighborhood scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39035131105?

Median gross rent is $1,860/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035131105?

4.1% of residents in tract 39035131105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,584.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035131105?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 63th, minority 59th, housing 41th.
Q5

Is tract 39035131105 considered part of Van Aken District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035131105 fall within Van Aken District (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 39035131105 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39035131105 compare to Shaker Heights overall?

Tract 39035131105 scores 1.8/10, lower than the parent city of Shaker Heights at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 39035131105 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Shaker Heights

Top eight tracts in Shaker Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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