Lancaster Methodist Episcopal Camp Ground Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 21%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.9/10. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.2/10. Filings are well documented here: 666 across 2 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 5.0% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 2.4% in 2016, is well off that peak. The closest comparables inside the same city are Lancaster West Main Street Historic District and Lancaster Historic District. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.

Average gross rent runs $1,036, close to the Lancaster average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $53,270. 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 5.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.