Lancaster Methodist Episcopal Camp Ground Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

The dominant input is economic stress at 9/10. The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Fairfield County average of 4.0. The filing record is not thin: 305 evictions over 13 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2013, when 4.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 7.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.