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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Lancaster Methodist Episcopal Camp Ground Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39045031500 · Fairfield County, OH · pop 3,281 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

For landlords sizing up Lancaster Methodist Episcopal Camp Ground Historic District in Lancaster, census tract 39045031500 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.3/10. It lands near the 82nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,077 a month against an average household income of $50,417 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 60% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 26% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,319
Renter share60.4%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate36.0%
Median income$50,417

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Lancaster Methodist Episcopal Camp Ground Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 12 tracts In Lancaster
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 36 tracts In Fairfield County
Very High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#485 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lancaster and the region

Centroid at 39.7349, -82.6222 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lancaster Methodist Episcopal Camp Ground Historic District scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
36.0% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$1,077 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.4

How Lancaster Methodist Episcopal Camp Ground Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lancaster Methodist Episcopal Camp Ground Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 031500Lancaster: 2.62.6Lancasterparent cityCounty: 2.92.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 305Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 3.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.4%Peak (2013)
  • 18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390450315002004: 20 filings (3.33/100 renter HHs)2005: 27 filings (5.21/100 renter HHs)2006: 25 filings (4.83/100 renter HHs)2007: 24 filings (4.63/100 renter HHs)2008: 31 filings (5.99/100 renter HHs)2009: 26 filings (5.02/100 renter HHs)2010: 18 filings (2.70/100 renter HHs)2011: 15 filings (1.99/100 renter HHs)2012: 19 filings (2.52/100 renter HHs)2013: 33 filings (4.37/100 renter HHs)2014: 27 filings (3.58/100 renter HHs)2015: 22 filings (2.91/100 renter HHs)2016: 18 filings (2.03/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lancaster Methodist Episcopal Camp Ground Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lancaster Methodist Episcopal Camp Ground Historic District

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Fairfield County average of 5.0 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39045031500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39045031500?

Census tract 39045031500 in the Lancaster Methodist Episcopal Camp Ground Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39045031500?

Median gross rent is $1,077/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39045031500?

36.0% of residents in tract 39045031500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,281.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39045031500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 79th, minority 16th, housing 51th.
Q5

Is tract 39045031500 considered part of Lancaster Methodist Episcopal Camp Ground Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39045031500 fall within Lancaster Methodist Episcopal Camp Ground Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39045031500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 305 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39045031500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.78% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39045031500 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39045031500 compare to Lancaster overall?

Tract 39045031500 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster

Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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