Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally
Eastcleft Eviction Risk: Lower , Upper Arlington
Tract 39049006410 · Franklin County, OH · pop 3,054 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 39049006410 covers the Eastcleft area of Upper Arlington in Ohio. Home to 3,054 residents, it scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 25% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 22% of renter households, a modest level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,591 a month while the average household earns $149,146 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. Renters make up 17% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,187
Renter share16.5%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$149,146
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
5
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Upper Arlington and the region
Centroid at 40.0117, -83.0824 · click any tract to drill in
Why Eastcleft scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Upper Arlington
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,591 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Upper Arlington
3.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Upper Arlington
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Upper Arlington
3.0
How Eastcleft compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 5%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 18%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 56Total filings over 10 yrs
- 1.76%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.3%Peak (2004)
- 3Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 37Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 3.70×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Eastcleft. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.8%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.8%Food insecurity
- 3.0%SNAP enrollment
- 3.5%Transit barriers
- 3.7%No health insurance
- 13.4%Frequent mental distress
- 17.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Eastcleft
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Upper Arlington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Franklin County average of 5.4 and below the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 3.70x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
In CDC survey modeling, about 4.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39049006410
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049006410?
Census tract 39049006410 in the Eastcleft neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39049006410?
Median gross rent is $1,591/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39049006410?
2.2% of residents in tract 39049006410 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,054.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39049006410?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 17th, minority 14th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 39049006410 considered part of Eastcleft?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049006410 fall within Eastcleft (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39049006410?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 56 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 39049006410 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.76% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39049006410 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 3.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39049006410 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39049006410 compare to Upper Arlington overall?
Tract 39049006410 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Upper Arlington at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Upper Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 39049006410 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Upper Arlington
Top eight tracts in Upper Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Brandon Heights
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · OH
Cranbrook
1.6
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · OH
Northcrest
1.6
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · OH
Eastcleft
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · OH
Kendale
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · OH
Eastcleft
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · OH
Guilford Place
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · OH
Old Arlington
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
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