Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Holly Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Columbus
Tract 39049008210 · Franklin County, OH · pop 2,305 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
With a score of 5.7/10, tract 39049008210 in the Holly Hill area of Columbus, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,305. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,013
Renter share54.7%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate22.3%
Median income$46,678
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Columbus and the region
Centroid at 39.9609, -83.1039 · click any tract to drill in
Why Holly Hill scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Columbus
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
22.3% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$912 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Columbus
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Columbus
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Columbus
4.0
How Holly Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 7%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 518Total filings over 13 yrs
- 7.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.5%Peak (2015)
- 67Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 68% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 337Total filings 2020-21
- 4.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.04×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Holly Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.4%Housing insecurity
- 14.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.4%Food insecurity
- 24.0%SNAP enrollment
- 13.8%Transit barriers
- 18.6%No health insurance
- 21.3%Frequent mental distress
- 37.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Holly Hill
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.3/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
At $912 a month, rents run 30% under what the rest of Columbus commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8/10.
It sits 1.3 points above the Franklin County average of 4.4. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Food insecurity runs 28.4% against 17.8% nationally. 36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Franklin County average of 41.6%. The filing record is not thin: 518 evictions over 13 years of observation.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2015, when 12.5% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Columbus. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 7.7% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39049008210
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049008210?
Census tract 39049008210 in the Holly Hill neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39049008210?
Median gross rent is $912/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39049008210?
22.3% of residents in tract 39049008210 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,305.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39049008210?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 92th, minority 43th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 39049008210 considered part of Holly Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049008210 fall within Holly Hill (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39049008210?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 518 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39049008210 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.69% of renter households, peaking at 12.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39049008210 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.04× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39049008210 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39049008210 compare to Columbus overall?
Tract 39049008210 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Columbus at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 39049008210 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Columbus
Top eight tracts in Columbus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Thurman Square
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
North Linden
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Northwest Boulevard
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Eastwood Heights
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Northgate
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Holly Hill
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Taylor Square
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
East Linden
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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