Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Holly Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Columbus
Tract 39049008312 · Franklin County, OH · pop 4,551 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 39049008312 covers part of the Holly Hill area of Columbus, OH, and scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,551 residents. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,910
Renter share73.0%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate43.7%
Median income$30,161
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Columbus and the region
Centroid at 39.9353, -83.0949 · click any tract to drill in
Why Holly Hill scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Columbus
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
43.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$832 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Columbus
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Columbus
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Columbus
4.0
How Holly Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,635Total filings over 13 yrs
- 11.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.0%Peak (2010)
- 99Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 24% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 625Total filings 2020-21
- 8.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 8.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.95×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Holly Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.1%Housing insecurity
- 23.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 42.9%Food insecurity
- 42.8%SNAP enrollment
- 21.3%Transit barriers
- 22.4%No health insurance
- 25.4%Frequent mental distress
- 44.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Holly Hill
The poverty rate is 44%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Average gross rent is $832, 36% below the Columbus average.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Set annual rent against average income of $30,161 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Housing insecurity runs 29.1% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 23.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Against the Franklin County average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
Court records carry 1,635 eviction filings across 13 observed years. The worst year on record was 2010, when 16.0% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Columbus. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 11.6% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39049008312
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049008312?
Census tract 39049008312 in the Holly Hill neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39049008312?
Median gross rent is $832/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39049008312?
43.7% of residents in tract 39049008312 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,551.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39049008312?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 99th, minority 68th, housing 54th.
Q5
Is tract 39049008312 considered part of Holly Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049008312 fall within Holly Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39049008312?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,635 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39049008312 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.60% of renter households, peaking at 16.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39049008312 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.95× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39049008312 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39049008312 compare to Columbus overall?
Tract 39049008312 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Columbus at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 39049008312 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Columbus
Top eight tracts in Columbus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Brookshire
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39049008813
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Northeast Columbus
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Eastwood Heights
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Northgate
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Holly Hill
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Taylor Square
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Thurman Square
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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