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Neighborhood

Eviction Risk in Mayfair , Columbus

Tract 39049002730 · Franklin County, OH · pop 2,536 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 39049002730 sits in the Mayfair neighborhood of Columbus, Ohio. It has a population of 2,536 and an eviction-risk score of 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). 79% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 51% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,060/month against a median household income of $25,086 — roughly 51% rent-to-income at the medians.

Eviction Risk
6.4
Elevated tier · 1-10 composite
Confidence 100%
Rent burden
79%
51% severely burdened (≥50%)
Median rent
$1,060
vs county FMR_2BR: -27%
Median household income
$25,086
57.3% below poverty line
Where

Tract location

Centroid at 39.9708, -82.9102. Drag to explore.

Demographics

Racial & ethnic composition

Black-Hispanic Neighborhood — 2,451 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).

Hispanic / Latino: 21.1% White (non-Hispanic): 15.8% Black (non-Hispanic): 56.6% Other / Multiracial: 6.5%
  • Hispanic / Latino 21.1%
  • White (non-Hispanic) 15.8%
  • Black (non-Hispanic) 56.6%
  • Other / Multiracial 6.5%
Score breakdown

How the 6.4/10 score is composed

Signal Score Source
Filing rate (county) 8.0 Eviction Lab via counties
State political climate 2.4 states.state_political_baseline
Regional political climate 6.6 2024 county presidential margin
Local political climate 6.5 Columbus (inherited)
Rent control risk 1.5 Columbus (inherited)
Eviction process difficulty 4.5 state law
Tenant organizing strength 5.5 Columbus (inherited)
Housing court bias 4.0 Columbus (inherited)
Economic stress (tract) 10.0 this tract poverty rate
Supply constraint (tract) 2.3 tract rent vs county FMR
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,704Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 18.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 29.3%Peak (2005)
  • 128Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 — 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390490027302002: 132 filings (15.83/100 renter HHs)2003: 106 filings (12.71/100 renter HHs)2004: 115 filings (13.79/100 renter HHs)2005: 167 filings (29.29/100 renter HHs)2006: 133 filings (23.33/100 renter HHs)2007: 79 filings (13.86/100 renter HHs)2008: 128 filings (22.45/100 renter HHs)2009: 160 filings (28.06/100 renter HHs)2010: 141 filings (19.61/100 renter HHs)2011: 141 filings (17.45/100 renter HHs)2012: 129 filings (15.97/100 renter HHs)2013: 145 filings (17.95/100 renter HHs)2015: 128 filings (15.84/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,174Total filings 2020-21
  • 15.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 10.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.46×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 — 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 6 filings (0.58× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (0.19× baseline)2020-03-01: 25 filings (2.34× baseline)2020-04-01: 2 filings (0.21× baseline)2020-05-01: 40 filings (3.43× baseline)2020-06-01: 2 filings (0.18× baseline)2020-07-01: 4 filings (0.32× baseline)2020-08-01: 3 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-09-01: 29 filings (1.67× baseline)2020-10-01: 5 filings (0.54× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.09× baseline)2020-12-01: 20 filings (2.07× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (0.19× baseline)2021-02-01: 30 filings (2.90× baseline)2021-03-01: 36 filings (3.37× baseline)2021-04-01: 8 filings (0.83× baseline)2021-05-01: 28 filings (2.40× baseline)2021-06-01: 21 filings (1.85× baseline)2021-07-01: 23 filings (1.82× baseline)2021-08-01: 17 filings (1.89× baseline)2021-09-01: 18 filings (1.04× baseline)2021-10-01: 24 filings (2.57× baseline)2021-11-01: 6 filings (0.51× baseline)2021-12-01: 22 filings (2.28× baseline)2022-01-01: 5 filings (0.48× baseline)2022-02-01: 29 filings (2.81× baseline)2022-03-01: 6 filings (0.56× baseline)2022-04-01: 13 filings (1.34× baseline)2022-05-01: 23 filings (1.97× baseline)2022-06-01: 3 filings (0.26× baseline)2022-07-01: 15 filings (1.18× baseline)2022-08-01: 10 filings (1.11× baseline)2022-09-01: 18 filings (1.04× baseline)2022-10-01: 12 filings (1.29× baseline)2022-11-01: 14 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-12-01: 17 filings (1.76× baseline)2023-01-01: 3 filings (0.29× baseline)2023-02-01: 29 filings (2.81× baseline)2023-03-01: 17 filings (1.59× baseline)2023-04-01: 8 filings (0.83× baseline)2023-05-01: 15 filings (1.29× baseline)2023-06-01: 29 filings (2.56× baseline)2023-07-01: 6 filings (0.47× baseline)2023-08-01: 15 filings (1.67× baseline)2023-09-01: 24 filings (1.38× baseline)2023-10-01: 21 filings (2.25× baseline)2023-11-01: 16 filings (1.37× baseline)2023-12-01: 10 filings (1.03× baseline)2024-01-01: 37 filings (3.58× baseline)2024-02-01: 21 filings (2.03× baseline)2024-03-01: 2 filings (0.19× baseline)2024-04-01: 12 filings (1.24× baseline)2024-05-01: 12 filings (1.03× baseline)2024-06-01: 18 filings (1.59× baseline)2024-07-01: 18 filings (1.42× baseline)2024-08-01: 22 filings (2.44× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.06× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 15 filings (1.29× baseline)2024-12-01: 17 filings (1.76× baseline)2025-01-01: 15 filings (1.45× baseline)2025-02-01: 12 filings (1.16× baseline)2025-03-01: 7 filings (0.66× baseline)2025-04-01: 10 filings (1.03× baseline)2025-05-01: 6 filings (0.51× baseline)2025-06-01: 13 filings (1.15× baseline)2025-07-01: 42 filings (3.31× baseline)2025-08-01: 11 filings (1.22× baseline)2025-09-01: 10 filings (0.58× baseline)2025-10-01: 14 filings (1.50× baseline)2025-11-01: 2 filings (0.17× baseline)2025-12-01: 61 filings (6.31× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 15 filings (150.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 19 filings (190.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 23 filings (230.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mayfair. Closest by composite score.

Tract · OH
Mayfair
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Mayfair
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Mayfair
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

1930s HOLC grade · historical context

Dominant grade: A — best — Mortgage-friendly under New Deal lending rules

Approximately 75% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Columbus. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.

Frequently asked

About tract 39049002730

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049002730?

Census tract 39049002730 in the Mayfair neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.

What is the median rent in tract 39049002730?

Median gross rent is $1,060/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39049002730?

57.3% of residents in tract 39049002730 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,536.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39049002730?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 99th, minority 90th, housing 45th.

Is tract 39049002730 considered part of Mayfair?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049002730 fall within Mayfair (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39049002730?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,704 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39049002730 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.93% of renter households, peaking at 29.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 39049002730 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.46× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 39049002730 struggle to pay rent?

About 37.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 33.6% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Was tract 39049002730 redlined?

The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is A (Best). Roughly 0% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Columbus. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.