Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Scioto Peninsula Eviction Risk: Moderate , Columbus
Tract 39049004200 · Franklin County, OH · pop 630 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 39049004200 sits in the Scioto Peninsula area of Columbus eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. It is home to 630 residents. 90% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 57%
Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units482
Renter share90.2%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate29.9%
Median income$58,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Columbus and the region
Centroid at 39.9597, -83.0124 · click any tract to drill in
Why Scioto Peninsula scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Columbus
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
29.9% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,470 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Columbus
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Columbus
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Columbus
4.0
How Scioto Peninsula compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 59%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 704Total filings over 13 yrs
- 13.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.3%Peak (2008)
- 14Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 27% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 401Total filings 2020-21
- 5.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.78×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.0%Housing insecurity
- 12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.5%Food insecurity
- 16.3%SNAP enrollment
- 10.8%Transit barriers
- 9.2%No health insurance
- 20.5%Frequent mental distress
- 25.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Scioto Peninsula
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Franklin County average of 4.4.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10. 37% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Franklin County average of 41.6%.
Court records carry 704 eviction filings across 13 observed years. At $1,470 a month, rents run 14% over what the rest of Columbus commands. Filings peaked in 2008 at 25.3% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 13.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #21,564 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39049004200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049004200?
Census tract 39049004200 in the Scioto Peninsula neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39049004200?
Median gross rent is $1,470/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39049004200?
29.9% of residents in tract 39049004200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 630.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39049004200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 12th, minority 62th, housing 60th.
Q5
Is tract 39049004200 considered part of Scioto Peninsula?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049004200 fall within Scioto Peninsula (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39049004200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 704 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39049004200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.62% of renter households, peaking at 25.3% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39049004200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.78× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39049004200 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39049004200 compare to Columbus overall?
Tract 39049004200 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Columbus at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 39049004200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 59% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Columbus
Top eight tracts in Columbus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Sawyer Manor
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Franklinton
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Far South Columbus
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
East Linden
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Reeb-Hosack
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Cherry Creek
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Franklinton
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
East Linden
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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