Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Thurman Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Columbus
Tract 39049005620 · Franklin County, OH · pop 2,289 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 39049005620 sits in the Thurman Square area of Columbus eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,088
Renter share56.3%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate20.0%
Median income$54,931
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Columbus and the region
Centroid at 39.9400, -82.9784 · click any tract to drill in
Why Thurman Square scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Columbus
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
20.0% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,144 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Columbus
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Columbus
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Columbus
4.0
How Thurman Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 30%Grade B
- 63%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 937Total filings over 13 yrs
- 14.05%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.8%Peak (2008)
- 83Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 26% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 364Total filings 2020-21
- 4.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.75×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Thurman Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.2%Housing insecurity
- 14.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.8%Food insecurity
- 20.7%SNAP enrollment
- 12.4%Transit barriers
- 10.3%No health insurance
- 21.3%Frequent mental distress
- 29.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Thurman Square
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. 52% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Franklin County average of 41.6%.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10.
It sits 1.1 points above the Franklin County average of 4.4. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 937 filings here across 13 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,144, 12% below the Columbus average.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2008 at 22.8% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Columbus. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 14.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39049005620
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049005620?
Census tract 39049005620 in the Thurman Square neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39049005620?
Median gross rent is $1,144/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39049005620?
20.0% of residents in tract 39049005620 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,289.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39049005620?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 38th, minority 54th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 39049005620 considered part of Thurman Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049005620 fall within Thurman Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39049005620?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 937 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39049005620 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.05% of renter households, peaking at 22.8% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39049005620 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.75× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39049005620 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39049005620 compare to Columbus overall?
Tract 39049005620 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Columbus at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 39049005620 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Columbus
Top eight tracts in Columbus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Driving Park
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Hyde Park
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Eastland
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Indianola Terrace
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
North Bexley Area
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Forest Park
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Scioto Peninsula
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Northgate
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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