Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally
Holly Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Columbus
Tract 39049008312 · Franklin County, OH · pop 4,551 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 39049008312, home to 4,551 residents in the Holly Hill area of Columbus, scores 6.1/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 77th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
42% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $832 monthly, set against $30,161 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 73% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,910
Renter share73.0%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate43.7%
Median income$30,161
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
98
th percentile
Very High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Columbus and the region
Centroid at 39.9353, -83.0949 · click any tract to drill in
Why Holly Hill scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Columbus
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
43.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$832 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Columbus
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Columbus
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Columbus
4.0
How Holly Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,635Total filings over 13 yrs
- 11.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.0%Peak (2010)
- 99Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 24% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 625Total filings 2020-21
- 8.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 8.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.95×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Holly Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.1%Housing insecurity
- 23.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 42.9%Food insecurity
- 42.8%SNAP enrollment
- 21.3%Transit barriers
- 22.4%No health insurance
- 25.4%Frequent mental distress
- 44.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Holly Hill
What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Columbus eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Franklin County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.95x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
In CDC survey modeling, about 29.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 23.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39049008312
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049008312?
Census tract 39049008312 in the Holly Hill neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39049008312?
Median gross rent is $832/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39049008312?
43.7% of residents in tract 39049008312 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,551.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39049008312?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 99th, minority 68th, housing 54th.
Q5
Is tract 39049008312 considered part of Holly Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049008312 fall within Holly Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39049008312?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,635 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39049008312 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.60% of renter households, peaking at 16.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39049008312 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.95× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39049008312 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39049008312 compare to Columbus overall?
Tract 39049008312 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Columbus at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 39049008312 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Columbus
Top eight tracts in Columbus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
South Campus
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Franklinton
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Eastland
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Northwood Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Tuttle Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Weinland Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Peach District
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Sawyer Manor
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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