Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Mayfair Eviction Risk: Moderate , Columbus
Tract 39049002730 · Franklin County, OH · pop 2,536 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 39049002730 covers part of the Mayfair area of Columbus, OH, and scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,536. The severe-burden share is 51%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 68%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 14%
Tract context
Occupied units1,046
Renter share85.8%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate57.3%
Median income$25,086
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Columbus and the region
Centroid at 39.9708, -82.9102 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mayfair scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Columbus
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
57.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,060 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Columbus
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Columbus
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Columbus
4.0
How Mayfair compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 58%Grade A
- 16%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,704Total filings over 13 yrs
- 18.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 29.3%Peak (2005)
- 128Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,174Total filings 2020-21
- 15.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.46×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mayfair. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 37.3%Housing insecurity
- 33.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 52.7%Food insecurity
- 56.9%SNAP enrollment
- 27.5%Transit barriers
- 19.0%No health insurance
- 26.2%Frequent mental distress
- 45.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mayfair
Cost burden runs 79% here against 41.6% across Franklin County. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. Food insecurity runs 52.7% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 56.9% against 15.2% nationally. Annualized rent equals 51% of average household income of $25,086, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 57%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8/10.
It sits 1.3 points above the Franklin County average of 4.4. At $1,060 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Columbus commands.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39049002730
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049002730?
Census tract 39049002730 in the Mayfair neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39049002730?
Median gross rent is $1,060/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39049002730?
57.3% of residents in tract 39049002730 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,536.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39049002730?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 99th, minority 90th, housing 45th.
Q5
Is tract 39049002730 considered part of Mayfair?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049002730 fall within Mayfair (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39049002730?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,704 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39049002730 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.93% of renter households, peaking at 29.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39049002730 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.46× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39049002730 struggle to pay rent?
About 37.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 33.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39049002730 compare to Columbus overall?
Tract 39049002730 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Columbus at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 39049002730 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Columbus
Top eight tracts in Columbus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Tuttle Park
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
East Hampton
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Franklin Park
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Franklinton
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
South Campus
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Mount Vernon
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
East Hampton
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Carmenton
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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