Madison-Stewart Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Average gross rent is $1,706, 70% above the Cincinnati average of $1,001. The voucher gap is 32.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The 4 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3 to 5.9, a 2.9-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

The severe-burden share is 22%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. Filings are well documented here: 2,633 across 3 observed tracts.

Filing activity peaked in 2007 at 23.7% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 2.9% in 2018, is well off that peak. That places it #27 of 38 neighborhoods in Cincinnati.

For a like-for-like read, Over-the-Rhine Historic District and Mount Airy score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $77,102. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.9 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.