Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally
Northgate Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 39061020505 · Hamilton County, OH · pop 4,225
Census tract 39061020505 covers Northgate, home to 4,225 residents. For landlords it grades 6.4/10, an elevated reading. It lands near the 84th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 60% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,473 monthly, set against $76,149 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 25% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,624
Renter share25.5%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$76,149
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
33
th percentile
Low
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
National
27
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Northgate and the region
Centroid at 39.2587, -84.5904 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northgate scores 2.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Northgate
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,473 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northgate
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northgate
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northgate
7.6
How Northgate compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 818Total filings over 16 yrs
- 15.71%Avg annual filing rate
- 43.9%Peak (2003)
- 52Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 32% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 366Total filings 2020-21
- 4.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.06×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Cincinnati, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.0%Housing insecurity
- 10.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.9%Food insecurity
- 16.4%SNAP enrollment
- 9.8%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 30.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northgate
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Northgate, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hamilton County average of 5.6 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.06x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39061020505
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39061020505?
Census tract 39061020505 in Northgate scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39061020505?
Median gross rent is $1,473/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39061020505?
9.7% of residents in tract 39061020505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,225.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39061020505?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 76th, minority 60th, housing 39th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39061020505?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 818 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 39061020505 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.71% of renter households, peaking at 43.9% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 39061020505 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.06× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cincinnati eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39061020505 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39061020505 compare to Northgate overall?
Tract 39061020505 scores 2.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Northgate at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northgate; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Related