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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

North End Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toronto

Tract 39081011200 · Jefferson County, OH · pop 2,151 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

39081011200 is a census tract in the North End area of Toronto, OH. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,151. Against Jefferson County at 39.7%, 29% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 29% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,090
Renter share40.7%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate24.8%
Median income$40,833

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In North End
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Toronto
Very High
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#7 of 22 tracts In Jefferson County
Elevated
Within state
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#1,036 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toronto and the region

Centroid at 40.4734, -80.6012 · click any tract to drill in

Why North End scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toronto
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
24.8% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$606 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toronto
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toronto
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toronto
5.7

How North End compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North End risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0112003.6Torontoparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 38Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 5.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.1%Peak (2016)
  • 14Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North End

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.7/10. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10. At $606 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Toronto commands.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.6/10. Against the Jefferson County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.

Court records carry 38 eviction filings across 2 observed years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 7.1% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 5.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $40,833, annual rent is just 18%.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39081011200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39081011200?

Census tract 39081011200 in the North End neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39081011200?

Median gross rent is $606/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39081011200?

24.8% of residents in tract 39081011200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,151.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39081011200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 78th, minority 10th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 39081011200 considered part of North End?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39081011200 fall within North End (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39081011200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 38 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 39081011200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.62% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39081011200 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39081011200 compare to Toronto overall?

Tract 39081011200 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Toronto at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toronto; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toronto

Top eight tracts in Toronto ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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