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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

The Woodlands Eviction Risk: Lower , Avon Lake

Tract 39093010200 · Lorain County, OH · pop 4,384 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

39093010200 is a census tract in the The Woodlands area of Avon Lake, OH. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Cost burden runs 20% here against 40.1% across Lorain County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 7% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,640
Renter share8.4%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$108,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In The Woodlands
Very High
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Avon Lake
Very Low
Within county
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#70 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
Very Low
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#2,197 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Avon Lake and the region

Centroid at 41.5071, -82.0124 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Woodlands scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Avon Lake
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,682 rent vs county FMR
8.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avon Lake
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avon Lake
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avon Lake
3.3

How The Woodlands compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Woodlands risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0102003.4Avon Lakeparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 46Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 2.94%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak (2012)
  • 3Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39093010200
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Woodlands. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Woodlands

The voucher gap is 39.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.9/10. Food insecurity runs 6.9% against 17.8% nationally.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10. SNAP participation runs 4.7% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Lorain County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points.

Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The filing record is not thin: 46 evictions over 11 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,682, 9% above the Avon Lake average.

Filings peaked in 2012 at 4.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.9% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093010200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093010200?

Census tract 39093010200 in the The Woodlands neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39093010200?

Median gross rent is $1,682/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093010200?

2.7% of residents in tract 39093010200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,384.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093010200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 28th, minority 6th, housing 1th.
Q5

Is tract 39093010200 considered part of The Woodlands?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093010200 fall within The Woodlands (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093010200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 46 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093010200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.94% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39093010200 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39093010200 compare to Avon Lake overall?

Tract 39093010200 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Avon Lake at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avon Lake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Avon Lake

Top eight tracts in Avon Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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