Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally
The 45s Eviction Risk: Lower , Avon Lake
Tract 39093097402 · Lorain County, OH · pop 5,573 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
In The 45s in Avon Lake, census tract 39093097402 scores $1/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,583 a month against an average household income of $113,992 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 15% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,051
Renter share14.9%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$113,992
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
7
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Avon Lake and the region
Centroid at 41.5053, -81.9838 · click any tract to drill in
Why The 45s scores 1.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Avon Lake
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,583 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avon Lake
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avon Lake
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avon Lake
3.3
How The 45s compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.7%Food insecurity
- 3.9%SNAP enrollment
- 3.8%Transit barriers
- 4.0%No health insurance
- 13.3%Frequent mental distress
- 22.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The 45s
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 8.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Avon Lake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lorain County average of 5.3 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39093097402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093097402?
Census tract 39093097402 in the The 45s neighborhood scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39093097402?
Median gross rent is $1,583/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39093097402?
2.2% of residents in tract 39093097402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,573.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39093097402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 38th, minority 17th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 39093097402 considered part of The 45s?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093097402 fall within The 45s (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 39093097402 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39093097402 compare to Avon Lake overall?
Tract 39093097402 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Avon Lake at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avon Lake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Avon Lake
Top eight tracts in Avon Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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