Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
The 45s Eviction Risk: Lower , Avon Lake
Tract 39093097402 · Lorain County, OH · pop 5,573 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 39093097402 in the The 45s area of Avon Lake, OH reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,573 residents. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,051
Renter share14.9%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$113,992
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
30
th percentile
Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Avon Lake and the region
Centroid at 41.5053, -81.9838 · click any tract to drill in
Why The 45s scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Avon Lake
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,583 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avon Lake
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avon Lake
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avon Lake
3.3
How The 45s compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.7%Food insecurity
- 3.9%SNAP enrollment
- 3.8%Transit barriers
- 4.0%No health insurance
- 13.3%Frequent mental distress
- 22.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The 45s
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 31.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.1/10.
Food insecurity runs 5.7% against 17.8% nationally. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10.
Against the Lorain County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. Housing insecurity runs 5.4% against 14.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.1/10. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $113,992, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39093097402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093097402?
Census tract 39093097402 in the The 45s neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39093097402?
Median gross rent is $1,583/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39093097402?
2.2% of residents in tract 39093097402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,573.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39093097402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 38th, minority 17th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 39093097402 considered part of The 45s?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093097402 fall within The 45s (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 39093097402 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39093097402 compare to Avon Lake overall?
Tract 39093097402 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Avon Lake at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avon Lake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Avon Lake
Top eight tracts in Avon Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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