Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally
Hopewell Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Poland
Tract 39099811001 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 4,030 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
The Hopewell Heights area of Poland anchors census tract 39099811001, which lands at 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 64% of US census tracts.
About 72% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 52% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $926 a month while the average household earns $76,000 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 13% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,828
Renter share13.4%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate11.9%
Median income$76,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
20
th percentile
Low
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Poland and the region
Centroid at 41.0322, -80.5739 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hopewell Heights scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Poland
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
11.9% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$926 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Poland
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Poland
3.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Poland
4.9
How Hopewell Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 16%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 10%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 29Total filings over 7 yrs
- 1.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.8%Peak (2013)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.7%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.4%Food insecurity
- 7.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 29.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hopewell Heights
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Poland, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39099811001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099811001?
Census tract 39099811001 in the Hopewell Heights neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39099811001?
Median gross rent is $926/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099811001?
11.9% of residents in tract 39099811001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,030.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099811001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 20th, minority 16th, housing 4th.
Q5
Is tract 39099811001 considered part of Hopewell Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099811001 fall within Hopewell Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099811001?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 29 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099811001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.32% of renter households, peaking at 1.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39099811001 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39099811001 compare to Poland overall?
Tract 39099811001 scores 3/10, higher than the parent city of Poland at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Poland; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39099811001 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Poland
Top eight tracts in Poland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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