Piqua-Caldwell Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Miami County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points.

Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 2.4/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10.

The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The filing record is not thin: 489 evictions over 9 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2007 at 7.6% of renter households.

In a typical year about 5.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $65,968, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.