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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Linden Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton

Tract 39113002500 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 4,920 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.3/10 for census tract 39113002500 reflects conditions in Linden Heights in Dayton, Ohio. That is riskier than about 49% of US census tracts.

About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $823 monthly, set against $46,852 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 51% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 30% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,392
Renter share51.0%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate22.1%
Median income$46,852

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Linden Heights
High
Within parent city
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#35 of 51 tracts In Dayton
Low
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
Elevated
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#622 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7566, -84.1294 · click any tract to drill in

Why Linden Heights scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
22.1% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$823 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5

How Linden Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Linden Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 002500Dayton: 3.43.4Daytonparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,747Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 9.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.6%Peak (2017)
  • 122Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391130025002002: 52 filings (5.02/100 renter HHs)2003: 75 filings (7.24/100 renter HHs)2004: 64 filings (6.18/100 renter HHs)2005: 85 filings (7.76/100 renter HHs)2006: 126 filings (11.50/100 renter HHs)2007: 101 filings (9.22/100 renter HHs)2008: 145 filings (13.23/100 renter HHs)2009: 85 filings (7.76/100 renter HHs)2010: 107 filings (10.28/100 renter HHs)2011: 90 filings (8.28/100 renter HHs)2012: 106 filings (9.75/100 renter HHs)2013: 106 filings (9.75/100 renter HHs)2014: 79 filings (7.27/100 renter HHs)2015: 130 filings (11.96/100 renter HHs)2016: 128 filings (10.14/100 renter HHs)2017: 146 filings (11.57/100 renter HHs)2018: 122 filings (9.67/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 135% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Linden Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Linden Heights

What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dayton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113002500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113002500?

Census tract 39113002500 in the Linden Heights neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113002500?

Median gross rent is $823/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113002500?

22.1% of residents in tract 39113002500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,920.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113002500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 82th, minority 23th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 39113002500 considered part of Linden Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113002500 fall within Linden Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113002500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,747 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113002500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.21% of renter households, peaking at 11.6% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39113002500 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39113002500 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113002500 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39113002500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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