Circleville Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate
4 census tracts · pop 12,564 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10
· range 5.4–5.6
Circleville Historic District is a 4-tract neighborhood of Circleville, OH, population 12,564. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.5/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 39% against 27.0% citywide, putting Circleville Historic District 12.0% over its own city.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10. 25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.4/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.2/10.
Court records carry 594 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 10.5% of renter households. Judgments average 4.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
Social vulnerability runs high at 7.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 4 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.2 points apart at the extremes. Average gross rent runs $922, close to the Circleville average.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $51,475. 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
With little internal variation, 5.5/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Circleville Historic District vs CirclevilleHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.0%+44%
Circleville: 27.0%
Average gross rent
$922-3%
Circleville: $955
Average HH income
$51,475-8%
Circleville: $56,225
Poverty rate
23.9%+11%
Circleville: 21.5%
Renter share
54.9%+25%
Circleville: 43.9%
Geographic context
Risk heat across Circleville Historic District and the region
Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 5.4–5.6
Why Circleville Historic District scores 5.5
9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Rent control risk
39% of income on rent · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
55% renter households · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts
8.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Economic stress
23.9% below poverty line · Range 4.4–8.4 across tracts
6.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.7 across tracts
1.4
Risk score comparison
Circleville Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.
Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).
Variance across tracts
How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Circleville Historic District?
Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.
Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.2 points from
5.4 to
5.6.
Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority8%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport77%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Circleville Historic District
Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
594Total filings (sum)
6.78%Avg annual filing rate
10.5%Peak year (2011)
5.62%Latest filed (2011)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Circleville Historic District
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
13.5%Housing insecurity
10.5%Utility shutoff threat
19.0%Food insecurity
18.2%SNAP enrollment
9.9%No health insurance
36.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Circleville Historic District
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Circleville Historic District?
Circleville Historic District scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Circleville Historic District compare to Circleville overall?
Circleville Historic District scores 1.3 points higher than Circleville overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $922 vs $955.
Q3
What is the average rent in Circleville Historic District?
Average gross rent in Circleville Historic District is $922/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Circleville Historic District residents are renters?
55% of Circleville Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Circleville). The neighborhood has 12,564 residents.
Q5
Is Circleville Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?
Circleville Historic District sits in the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Circleville Historic District have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Circleville Historic District is census tract 39129020400 (score 5.6/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 5.6, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7
How safe is Circleville Historic District for landlords?
Circleville Historic District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Circleville as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Circleville Historic District?
Circleville Historic District has 12,558 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (92.3%), Other / Multiracial (4.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (1.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
