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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Circleville Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39129020400 · Pickaway County, OH · pop 2,883 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

How risky is the Circleville Historic District neighborhood of Circleville for landlords? Census tract 39129020400 scores $1/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $927 a month while the average household earns $41,148 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 25% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,216
Renter share55.4%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate33.4%
Median income$41,148

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Circleville Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Circleville
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 16 tracts In Pickaway County
Very High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#424 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Circleville and the region

Centroid at 39.5829, -82.9406 · click any tract to drill in

Why Circleville Historic District scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Circleville
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
33.4% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$927 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Circleville
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Circleville
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Circleville
6.4

How Circleville Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Circleville Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 020400Circleville: 2.82.8Circlevilleparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 144Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 8.28%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.3%Peak (2010)
  • 28Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2011
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391290204002005: 35 filings (9.75/100 renter HHs)2006: 34 filings (9.47/100 renter HHs)2010: 47 filings (9.25/100 renter HHs)2011: 28 filings (4.63/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Circleville Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Circleville Historic District

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Circleville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pickaway County average of 4.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39129020400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39129020400?

Census tract 39129020400 in the Circleville Historic District neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39129020400?

Median gross rent is $927/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39129020400?

33.4% of residents in tract 39129020400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,883.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39129020400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 59th, minority 5th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 39129020400 considered part of Circleville Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39129020400 fall within Circleville Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39129020400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 144 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 39129020400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.28% of renter households, peaking at 9.3% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39129020400 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39129020400 compare to Circleville overall?

Tract 39129020400 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Circleville at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Circleville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Circleville

Top eight tracts in Circleville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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