Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Shelby Center Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39139002600 · Richland County, OH · pop 4,653 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
39139002600 is a census tract in the Shelby Center Historic District area of Shelby, OH. It scores 4.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,653. Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,900
Renter share44.2%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$53,067
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
55
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shelby and the region
Centroid at 40.8885, -82.6638 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shelby Center Historic District scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shelby
3.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$733 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shelby
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shelby
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shelby
5.4
How Shelby Center Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 12%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 315Total filings over 11 yrs
- 3.01%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.3%Peak (2005)
- 14Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 62% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.8%Housing insecurity
- 7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.5%Food insecurity
- 11.7%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 8.4%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 30.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shelby Center Historic District
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 7.9/10. Cost burden runs 47% here against 39.0% across Richland County. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10. The filing record is not thin: 315 evictions over 11 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2005, when 4.3% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 6.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $53,067, an unusually wide affordability cushion. It tracks the Richland County average of 4.2 closely.
Average gross rent is $733, close to the Shelby average. 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39139002600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39139002600?
Census tract 39139002600 in the Shelby Center Historic District neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39139002600?
Median gross rent is $733/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39139002600?
16.0% of residents in tract 39139002600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,653.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39139002600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 38th, minority 12th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 39139002600 considered part of Shelby Center Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39139002600 fall within Shelby Center Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39139002600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 315 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39139002600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.01% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39139002600 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39139002600 compare to Shelby overall?
Tract 39139002600 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Shelby at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shelby; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shelby
Top eight tracts in Shelby ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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