Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Alliance Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39151710500 · Stark County, OH · pop 4,207
Census tract 39151710500 covers part of Alliance, OH, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,207. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,459
Renter share58.1%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate32.2%
Median income$52,943
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Alliance and the region
Centroid at 40.9104, -81.0957 · click any tract to drill in
Why Alliance scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Alliance
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
32.2% poverty · this tract
8.0
Supply constraint
$825 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alliance
3.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alliance
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alliance
6.1
How Alliance compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,031Total filings over 15 yrs
- 7.85%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.1%Peak (2011)
- 62Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.1%Housing insecurity
- 15.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.8%Food insecurity
- 27.8%SNAP enrollment
- 14.2%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 23.0%Frequent mental distress
- 40.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Alliance
The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, economic stress reads 8/10. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
It sits 1.3 points above the Stark County average of 4.1. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Food insecurity runs 26.8% against 17.8% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 1,031 evictions over 15 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2011 at 10.1% of renter households.
In a typical year about 7.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39151710500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39151710500?
Census tract 39151710500 in Alliance scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39151710500?
Median gross rent is $825/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39151710500?
32.2% of residents in tract 39151710500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,207.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39151710500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 65th, minority 50th, housing 88th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39151710500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,031 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39151710500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.85% of renter households, peaking at 10.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39151710500 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39151710500 compare to Alliance overall?
Tract 39151710500 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Alliance at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alliance; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Alliance
Top eight tracts in Alliance ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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