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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Middlebury Eviction Risk: Moderate , Akron

Tract 39153503100 · Summit County, OH · pop 1,907 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

The Elevated-tier score of 6.2/10 for census tract 39153503100 reflects conditions in the Middlebury area of Akron, Ohio. On the national scale it ranks #17,136 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 77% of renter households, a severe level, and 63% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $869 a month against an average household income of $22,070 a year, roughly 47% of income at the averages. Renters make up 62% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 14% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units663
Renter share61.8%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate49.6%
Median income$22,070

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Middlebury
Moderate
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 61 tracts In Akron
High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 138 tracts In Summit County
Very High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#228 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Akron and the region

Centroid at 41.0689, -81.4967 · click any tract to drill in

Why Middlebury scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Akron
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
49.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$869 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Akron
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Akron
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Akron
4.0

How Middlebury compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Middlebury risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 503100Akron: 3.43.4Akronparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,234Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 17.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.1%Peak (2005)
  • 56Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391535031002002: 103 filings (21.42/100 renter HHs)2003: 67 filings (13.93/100 renter HHs)2004: 88 filings (18.30/100 renter HHs)2005: 113 filings (21.07/100 renter HHs)2006: 98 filings (18.28/100 renter HHs)2007: 86 filings (16.04/100 renter HHs)2008: 58 filings (10.82/100 renter HHs)2009: 50 filings (9.32/100 renter HHs)2010: 47 filings (11.16/100 renter HHs)2011: 71 filings (20.40/100 renter HHs)2012: 64 filings (18.39/100 renter HHs)2013: 78 filings (22.41/100 renter HHs)2014: 64 filings (18.39/100 renter HHs)2015: 63 filings (18.10/100 renter HHs)2016: 67 filings (18.77/100 renter HHs)2017: 61 filings (17.09/100 renter HHs)2018: 56 filings (15.69/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 46% over the past 17 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Middlebury

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Akron eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Summit County average of 5.2 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39153503100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39153503100?

Census tract 39153503100 in the Middlebury neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39153503100?

Median gross rent is $869/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39153503100?

49.6% of residents in tract 39153503100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,907.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39153503100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 92th, minority 74th, housing 41th.
Q5

Is tract 39153503100 considered part of Middlebury?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39153503100 fall within Middlebury (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39153503100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,234 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39153503100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.03% of renter households, peaking at 21.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39153503100 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39153503100 compare to Akron overall?

Tract 39153503100 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Akron at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Akron eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39153503100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Akron

Top eight tracts in Akron ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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