Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally
Valley Forge Eviction Risk: Lower , Stow
Tract 39153530401 · Summit County, OH · pop 3,496 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
For landlords sizing up the Valley Forge neighborhood of Stow, census tract 39153530401 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. That is riskier than roughly 56% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
68% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 47% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,154 a month against an average household income of $111,172 a year, roughly 12% of income at the averages. About 23% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,345
Renter share23.2%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$111,172
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
11
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Stow and the region
Centroid at 41.1727, -81.4388 · click any tract to drill in
Why Valley Forge scores 1.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Stow
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,154 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Stow
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Stow
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Stow
4.5
How Valley Forge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 8%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 18%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 175Total filings over 17 yrs
- 2.70%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.6%Peak (2007)
- 8Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 17 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.6%Food insecurity
- 7.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 16.9%Frequent mental distress
- 28.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Valley Forge
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Stow eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Summit County average of 5.2 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 175 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 2.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.6% of renter households in 2007.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39153530401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39153530401?
Census tract 39153530401 in the Valley Forge neighborhood scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39153530401?
Median gross rent is $1,154/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39153530401?
4.7% of residents in tract 39153530401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,496.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39153530401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 35th, minority 8th, housing 73th.
Q5
Is tract 39153530401 considered part of Valley Forge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39153530401 fall within Valley Forge (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39153530401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 175 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39153530401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.70% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39153530401 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39153530401 compare to Stow overall?
Tract 39153530401 scores 1.8/10, lower than the parent city of Stow at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Stow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39153530401 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Stow
Top eight tracts in Stow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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