River Bend Eviction Risk: Moderate

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 49%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

The severe-burden share is 33%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. 24.4% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Food insecurity affects 39.1% of adults, 21.3 points above the national rate. At $595 a month, rents sit 31% under what the rest of Muskogee commands. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.4/10.

That places it #1 of 11 neighborhoods in Muskogee. The closest comparables inside the same city are Nehemiah Homes and Highlands.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $27,820. 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 4.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.