Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Gilcrease Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tulsa
Tract 40113940006 ·
Osage County, OK · pop 5,396 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 4.4/10, tract 40113940006 in the Gilcrease Hills area of Tulsa, OK reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,396 residents. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%Stable renters 15%Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units2,047
Renter share38.4%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate19.6%
Median income$52,074
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Gilcrease Hills
Moderate
Within parent city
55th percentile
#63 of 140 tracts In Tulsa
Elevated
Within county
92th percentile
#2 of 13 tracts In Osage County
Very High
Within state
72th percentile
#334 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tulsa and the region
Centroid at 36.1747, -96.0147 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gilcrease Hills scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tulsa
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.6% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$861 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tulsa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tulsa
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tulsa
2.5
How Gilcrease Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
89%Socioeconomic
92%Household composition
89%Racial/ethnic minority
61%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
12%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
22.0%Housing insecurity
18.1%Utility-shutoff threat
28.8%Food insecurity
28.7%SNAP enrollment
14.1%Transit barriers
10.7%No health insurance
17.3%Frequent mental distress
43.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gilcrease Hills
Cost burden runs 62% here against 29.1% across Osage County. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Food insecurity runs 28.8% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $861, 18% below the Tulsa average.
The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 0.8 points above the Osage County average of 3.6.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 49th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.1/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 40113940006
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40113940006?
Census tract 40113940006 in the Gilcrease Hills neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 40113940006?
Median gross rent is $861/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 40113940006?
19.6% of residents in tract 40113940006 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,396.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 40113940006?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 92th, minority 89th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 40113940006 considered part of Gilcrease Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40113940006 fall within Gilcrease Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 40113940006 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 40113940006 compare to Tulsa overall?
Tract 40113940006 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Tulsa at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tulsa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 40113940006 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tulsa
Top eight tracts in Tulsa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.