South Nogales Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tulsa

SNAP participation runs 36.5% against 15.2% nationally. Disability prevalence runs 52.3% against 31.5% nationally. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. Against the Tulsa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

At $868 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Tulsa commands. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Tulsa. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OK average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.