Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Deer Island Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 41009970400 · Columbia County, OR · pop 2,296 · 2% of tract blocks fall in Deer Island
41009970400 is a census tract in Deer Island, OR. It scores 6/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,296 residents. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units968
Renter share11.6%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$85,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
90
th percentile
Very High
Within state
46
th percentile
Moderate
National
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Deer Island and the region
Centroid at 45.9757, -122.9338 · click any tract to drill in
Why Deer Island scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Deer Island
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Deer Island
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Deer Island
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Deer Island
5.1
How Deer Island compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 10Total filings over 2 yrs
- 3.49%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.8%Peak (2014)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 29Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 4.83×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Deer Island
The main counterweight is economic stress at 2.2/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Columbia County average of 4.9.
Running hot, state political climate reads 7.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 10 evictions over 2 years of observation. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 6.9/10.
The worst year on record was 2014, when 3.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.8/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
54% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 41009970400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41009970400?
Census tract 41009970400 in Deer Island scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 41009970400?
8.9% of residents in tract 41009970400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,296.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 41009970400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 14th, minority 25th, housing 36th.
Q4
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41009970400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 41009970400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.49% of renter households, peaking at 3.8% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 41009970400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 4.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 41009970400 compare to Deer Island overall?
Tract 41009970400 scores 6/10, right in line with the parent city of Deer Island at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Deer Island; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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