Whiteaker Eviction Risk: High , Eugene

The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Lane County average of 46.2%. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $1,126, 20% below the Eugene average.

The filing record is not thin: 242 evictions over 16 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2005, when 4.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.