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Neighborhood · Ranked #5,730 of 84,120 nationally

River Edge Public Plaza Eviction Risk: High , Eugene

Tract 41039003802 · Lane County, OR · pop 5,828 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 41039003802 covers part of the River Edge Public Plaza area of Eugene, OR, and scores 8.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,828 residents. The severe-burden share is 50%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 76% Stable renters 24% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units2,360
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate65.3%
Median income$26,304

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In River Edge Public Plaza
Moderate
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 45 tracts In Eugene
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 92 tracts In Lane County
High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Eugene and the region

Centroid at 44.0470, -123.0831 · click any tract to drill in

Why River Edge Public Plaza scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Eugene
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
65.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,286 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Eugene
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Eugene
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Eugene
7.5

How River Edge Public Plaza compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
River Edge Public Plaza risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.4This tracttract 0038027.0Eugeneparent city6.2Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 197Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within River Edge Public Plaza. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in River Edge Public Plaza

Cost burden runs 76% here against 46.2% across Lane County. Annualized rent equals 59% of average household income of $26,304, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 65%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Against the Lane County average of 6.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.2 points. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10.

Average gross rent is $1,286, 8% below the Eugene average. On the national scale it lands near the 93rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 2.3 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 41039003802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039003802?

Census tract 41039003802 in the River Edge Public Plaza neighborhood scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41039003802?

Median gross rent is $1,286/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41039003802?

65.3% of residents in tract 41039003802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,828.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41039003802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 0th, minority 50th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 41039003802 considered part of River Edge Public Plaza?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41039003802 fall within River Edge Public Plaza (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 41039003802 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 41039003802 compare to Eugene overall?

Tract 41039003802 scores 8.4/10, higher than the parent city of Eugene at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Eugene eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Eugene

Top eight tracts in Eugene ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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