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Census Tract · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Florence Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 41039000705 · Lane County, OR · pop 4,071

41039000705 is a census tract in Florence, OR. It scores 6.6/10 for landlords. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 24% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,086
Renter share46.6%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$46,859

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Florence
Very High
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#41 of 92 tracts In Lane County
Elevated
Within state
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#378 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Elevated
National
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#14,906 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Florence and the region

Centroid at 43.9857, -124.1141 · click any tract to drill in

Why Florence scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Florence
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,162 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Florence
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Florence
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Florence
6.2

How Florence compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Florence risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.6This tracttract 0007056.1Florenceparent city6.2Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 151Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 1.60%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.4%Peak (2000)
  • 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41039000705
Filings dropped 52% over the past 16 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 64Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.20×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Florence

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 7.7/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.8/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 151 filings here across 16 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2000, when 4.4% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 1.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 49% of renters.

It tracks the Lane County average of 6.2 closely. Average gross rent is $1,162, close to the Florence average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 41039000705

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039000705?

Census tract 41039000705 in Florence scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41039000705?

Median gross rent is $1,162/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41039000705?

12.4% of residents in tract 41039000705 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,071.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41039000705?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 97th, minority 25th, housing 93th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039000705?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 151 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039000705 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.60% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 41039000705 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.20× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 41039000705 compare to Florence overall?

Tract 41039000705 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Florence at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Florence; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Florence

Top eight tracts in Florence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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