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Neighborhood · Lincoln City, OR

Roads End Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,159 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5/10 · range 5–5

Roads End is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Lincoln City with 1 census tract and a population of 2,159 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 45% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 20% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,344/month sits 2% higher than the Lincoln City citywide average ($1,314).

Risk score
5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Roads End vs Lincoln City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.7% +33%
Lincoln City: 33.5%
Average gross rent
$1,344 +2%
Lincoln City: $1,314
Average HH income
$63,509 +11%
Lincoln City: $57,333
Poverty rate
9.6% -26%
Lincoln City: 13.1%
Renter share
34.2% -16%
Lincoln City: 40.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Roads End and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5–5

Why Roads End scores 5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
34% renter households · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
9.6% below poverty line · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Risk score comparison

Roads End vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Roads End score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Roads End: 5.05.0Roads EndNeighborhoodParent city: 6.76.7Parent cityhost cityState: 7.17.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Roads End

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
41041950303 5 2,159 45% $1,344
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 63

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 63%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 95%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 44%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 25%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Roads End

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 35Total filings (sum)
  • 1.69%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.6%Peak year (2012)
  • 1.73%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 10Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly observed
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System ().

Frequently asked

About Roads End

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Roads End?

Roads End scores 5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Roads End compare to Lincoln City overall?

Roads End scores 1.7 points lower than Lincoln City overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,344 vs $1,314.
Q3

What is the average rent in Roads End?

Average gross rent in Roads End is $1,344/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Roads End residents are renters?

34% of Roads End households are renter-occupied (vs 41% in Lincoln City). The neighborhood has 2,159 residents.
Q5

Is Roads End a high social-vulnerability area?

Roads End sits in the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Roads End for landlords?

Roads End carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lincoln City as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Roads End?

Roads End has 2,137 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73.5%), Hispanic / Latino (13.8%), Other / Multiracial (10.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Roads End

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lincoln City

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Roads End.

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