Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Roads End Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincoln City
Tract 41041950303 · Lincoln County, OR · pop 2,159 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
41041950303 is a census tract in the Roads End area of Lincoln City, OR. It scores 4.4/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units890
Renter share34.2%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$63,509
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
12
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lincoln City and the region
Centroid at 45.0214, -123.9957 · click any tract to drill in
Why Roads End scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lincoln City
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,344 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln City
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln City
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln City
5.5
How Roads End compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 35Total filings over 8 yrs
- 1.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.6%Peak (2012)
- 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 10Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Roads End
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 2.4/10. It sits 1.1 points below the Lincoln County average of 5.5.
Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 35 filings here across 8 tracked years. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 4.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 49th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 45% of renters.
Average gross rent is $1,344, close to the Lincoln City average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $63,509.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 41041950303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41041950303?
Census tract 41041950303 in the Roads End neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41041950303?
Median gross rent is $1,344/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41041950303?
9.6% of residents in tract 41041950303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,159.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41041950303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 95th, minority 44th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 41041950303 considered part of Roads End?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41041950303 fall within Roads End (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41041950303?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 35 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 41041950303 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.69% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 41041950303 compare to Lincoln City overall?
Tract 41041950303 scores 4.4/10, lower than the parent city of Lincoln City at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln City
Top eight tracts in Lincoln City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related