Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
Toledo Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41041951300 · Lincoln County, OR · pop 2,491 · 37% of tract blocks fall in Toledo
Census tract 41041951300 belongs to Toledo in Lincoln County, Oregon. It is home to 2,491 residents and scores 6.1/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 77% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 65% of renter households, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,086 a month against an average household income of $76,888 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 16% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,050
Renter share15.6%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$76,888
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
75
th percentile
Elevated
National
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toledo and the region
Centroid at 44.6026, -123.9576 · click any tract to drill in
Why Toledo scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toledo
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,086 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
7.4
How Toledo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 56%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 126Total filings over 9 yrs
- 5.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.7%Peak (2006)
- 9Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 29Total filings 2020-21
- 1.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Toledo
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toledo, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lincoln County average of 5.6 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 126 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 5.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.7% of renter households in 2006.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41041951300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41041951300?
Census tract 41041951300 in Toledo scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41041951300?
Median gross rent is $1,086/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41041951300?
16.0% of residents in tract 41041951300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,491.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41041951300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 82th, minority 37th, housing 31th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41041951300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 126 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 41041951300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.89% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 41041951300 compare to Toledo overall?
Tract 41041951300 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Toledo at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toledo
Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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