Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Gervais Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41047010303 · Marion County, OR · pop 4,410 · 30% of tract blocks fall in Gervais
41047010303 is a census tract in Gervais, OR. It scores 4/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,410. roughly three in four of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Marion County average of 48.4%.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,494
Renter share23.9%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$73,352
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
National
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gervais and the region
Centroid at 45.1250, -122.9026 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gervais scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gervais
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,716 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gervais
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gervais
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gervais
6.4
How Gervais compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 201Total filings over 16 yrs
- 5.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.1%Peak (2001)
- 12Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gervais
The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.7/10.
Against the Marion County average of 6.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.0 points. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.5/10.
Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.3/10. Court records carry 201 eviction filings across 16 observed years. At $1,716 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Gervais commands.
Filings peaked in 2001 at 10.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.1/10.
Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41047010303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047010303?
Census tract 41047010303 in Gervais scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41047010303?
Median gross rent is $1,716/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41047010303?
6.1% of residents in tract 41047010303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,410.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41047010303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 76th, minority 73th, housing 67th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047010303?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 201 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047010303 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.78% of renter households, peaking at 10.1% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 41047010303 compare to Gervais overall?
Tract 41047010303 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Gervais at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gervais; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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