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Census Tract · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally

Gervais Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 41047010303 · Marion County, OR · pop 4,410 · 30% of tract blocks fall in Gervais

The Elevated-tier score of 6.2/10 for census tract 41047010303 reflects conditions in Gervais, Oregon. On the national scale it ranks #17,179 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 73% of renter households, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,716 a month while the average household earns $73,352 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 24% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 6% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,494
Renter share23.9%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$73,352

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Gervais
Moderate
Within county
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#61 of 65 tracts In Marion County
Very Low
Within state
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#860 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very Low
National
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#60,063 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gervais and the region

Centroid at 45.1250, -122.9026 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gervais scores 2.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gervais
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,716 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gervais
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gervais
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gervais
6.4

How Gervais compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gervais risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.92.9This tracttract 010303Gervais: 6.96.9Gervaisparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 201Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 5.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.1%Peak (2001)
  • 12Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410470103032000: 12 filings (4.35/100 renter HHs)2001: 28 filings (10.14/100 renter HHs)2002: 17 filings (6.16/100 renter HHs)2003: 20 filings (7.25/100 renter HHs)2004: 13 filings (4.71/100 renter HHs)2005: 13 filings (9.35/100 renter HHs)2006: 7 filings (5.04/100 renter HHs)2007: 13 filings (9.35/100 renter HHs)2008: 15 filings (10.79/100 renter HHs)2009: 11 filings (7.91/100 renter HHs)2010: 8 filings (2.52/100 renter HHs)2011: 12 filings (4.07/100 renter HHs)2012: 8 filings (2.71/100 renter HHs)2013: 7 filings (2.37/100 renter HHs)2014: 5 filings (1.69/100 renter HHs)2016: 12 filings (4.07/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gervais

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gervais, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Marion County average of 6.2 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 201 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 5.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.1% of renter households in 2001.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047010303

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047010303?

Census tract 41047010303 in Gervais scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047010303?

Median gross rent is $1,716/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047010303?

6.1% of residents in tract 41047010303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,410.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047010303?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 76th, minority 73th, housing 67th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047010303?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 201 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047010303 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.78% of renter households, peaking at 10.1% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 41047010303 compare to Gervais overall?

Tract 41047010303 scores 2.9/10, lower than the parent city of Gervais at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gervais; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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