Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Middle Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate , Hayesville
Tract 41047001603 · Marion County, OR · pop 7,973 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 41047001603 covers part of the Middle Grove area of Hayesville, OR, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,973 residents. 30% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Marion County average of 48.4%.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,304
Renter share22.1%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$84,924
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
39
th percentile
Low
Within state
37
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hayesville and the region
Centroid at 44.9750, -122.9473 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middle Grove scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Hayesville
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,677 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hayesville
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hayesville
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hayesville
8.2
How Middle Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 356Total filings over 16 yrs
- 4.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.3%Peak (2011)
- 20Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 31% over the past 16 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middle Grove
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.3/10.
17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.2/10. Average gross rent is $1,677, 17% above the Hayesville average.
Court records carry 356 eviction filings across 16 observed years. Filings peaked in 2011 at 5.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.3% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 7.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 41047001603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047001603?
Census tract 41047001603 in the Middle Grove neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41047001603?
Median gross rent is $1,677/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41047001603?
5.1% of residents in tract 41047001603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,973.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41047001603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 80th, minority 74th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 41047001603 considered part of Middle Grove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41047001603 fall within Middle Grove (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047001603?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 356 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047001603 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.33% of renter households, peaking at 5.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 41047001603 compare to Hayesville overall?
Tract 41047001603 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Hayesville at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hayesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Hayesville
Top eight tracts in Hayesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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