Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally
Hayesville Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 41047001601 · Marion County, OR · pop 7,620 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 6.3/10, tract 41047001601 in the Hayesville area of Hayesville, OR reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units2,627
Renter share24.0%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$78,535
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hayesville and the region
Centroid at 44.9907, -122.9809 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hayesville scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Hayesville
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,445 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hayesville
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hayesville
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hayesville
8.2
How Hayesville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 692Total filings over 16 yrs
- 5.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.0%Peak (2007)
- 37Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 16 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hayesville
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10.
The filing record is not thin: 692 evictions over 16 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2007, when 7.0% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 5.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 8.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. roughly one in two of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Marion County average of 6.0 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,445, close to the Hayesville average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 41047001601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047001601?
Census tract 41047001601 in the Hayesville neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41047001601?
Median gross rent is $1,445/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41047001601?
10.2% of residents in tract 41047001601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,620.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41047001601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 75th, minority 65th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 41047001601 considered part of Hayesville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41047001601 fall within Hayesville (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047001601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 692 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047001601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.41% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 41047001601 compare to Hayesville overall?
Tract 41047001601 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Hayesville at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hayesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Hayesville
Top eight tracts in Hayesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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