Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally
North Gresham Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 41051009603 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,697 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 7.5/10, tract 41051009603 in the North Gresham area of Gresham, OR reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 51%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,343
Renter share39.7%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate18.5%
Median income$69,754
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gresham and the region
Centroid at 45.5296, -122.4608 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Gresham scores 7.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gresham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
18.5% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,319 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gresham
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gresham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gresham
7.5
How North Gresham compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 588Total filings over 16 yrs
- 7.86%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.9%Peak (2005)
- 32Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 228Total filings 2020-21
- 3.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.23×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North Gresham
Cost burden runs 62% here against 49.7% across Multnomah County. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.6/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.
On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. At $1,319 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Gresham commands.
The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 588 evictions over 16 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2005, when 12.9% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 7.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.3/10. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051009603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051009603?
Census tract 41051009603 in the North Gresham neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051009603?
Median gross rent is $1,319/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051009603?
18.5% of residents in tract 41051009603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,697.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051009603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 92th, minority 61th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 41051009603 considered part of North Gresham?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051009603 fall within North Gresham (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051009603?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 588 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051009603 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.86% of renter households, peaking at 12.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051009603 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.23× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051009603 compare to Gresham overall?
Tract 41051009603 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Gresham at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gresham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gresham
Top eight tracts in Gresham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Central City
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Central City
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Rockwood
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Rockwood
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Centennial
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
North Central
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Central City
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Centennial
7.5
/ 10 · High
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