Within neighborhood
80
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally
Central City Eviction Risk: Elevated , Gresham
Tract 41051010410 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 4,814 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 41051010410 sits in the Central City area of Gresham eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.8/10. It is home to 4,814 residents. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units2,077
Renter share64.9%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate23.2%
Median income$43,870
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gresham and the region
Centroid at 45.5119, -122.4066 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central City scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gresham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
23.2% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,562 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gresham
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gresham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gresham
7.5
How Central City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,854Total filings over 16 yrs
- 13.34%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.4%Peak (2013)
- 111Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 698Total filings 2020-21
- 9.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.16×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Central City. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Central City
Cost burden runs 70% here against 49.7% across Multnomah County. Set annual rent against average income of $43,870 and the ratio lands at 43%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
What pushes it up most is regional political climate at 8.1/10. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,854 evictions over 16 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 15.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 13.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.1/10. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051010410
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051010410?
Census tract 41051010410 in the Central City neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051010410?
Median gross rent is $1,562/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051010410?
23.2% of residents in tract 41051010410 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,814.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051010410?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 92th, minority 54th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 41051010410 considered part of Central City?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051010410 fall within Central City (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051010410?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,854 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051010410 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.34% of renter households, peaking at 15.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051010410 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.16× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051010410 compare to Gresham overall?
Tract 41051010410 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Gresham at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gresham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gresham
Top eight tracts in Gresham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Centennial
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Central City
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Rockwood
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Rockwood
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
North Central
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
North Gresham
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Central City
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Centennial
7.5
/ 10 · High
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