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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Belmar Eviction Risk: Elevated , Pittsburgh

Tract 42003561900 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 2,007 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 42003561900 covers part of the Belmar area of Pittsburgh, PA, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,007 residents. 66% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Allegheny County average of 40.6%.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 11% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units964
Renter share32.1%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate39.9%
Median income$29,118

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Belmar
Very Low
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 128 tracts In Pittsburgh
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 394 tracts In Allegheny County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#207 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pittsburgh and the region

Centroid at 40.4694, -79.8931 · click any tract to drill in

Why Belmar scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
39.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$536 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pittsburgh
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.0

How Belmar compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Belmar risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 5619005.9Pittsburghparent city5.0Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 474Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 23.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 27.3%Peak (2005)
  • 64Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42003561900
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Belmar. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Belmar

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. Average gross rent is $536, 57% below the Pittsburgh average.

The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Allegheny County average of 5.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.8/10.

The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The filing record is not thin: 474 evictions over 7 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2005 at 27.3% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Pittsburgh. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 23.1% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42003561900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003561900?

Census tract 42003561900 in the Belmar neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42003561900?

Median gross rent is $536/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42003561900?

39.9% of residents in tract 42003561900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,007.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42003561900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 95th, minority 95th, housing 49th.
Q5

Is tract 42003561900 considered part of Belmar?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003561900 fall within Belmar (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42003561900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 474 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42003561900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.08% of renter households, peaking at 27.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42003561900 compare to Pittsburgh overall?

Tract 42003561900 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Pittsburgh at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pittsburgh eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42003561900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Pittsburgh

Top eight tracts in Pittsburgh ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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