Crafton Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Pittsburgh

Against Allegheny County at 40.6%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 2.3 points above the Allegheny County average of 5.0. Set annual rent against average income of $34,234 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 8/10.

At $962 a month, rents run 24% under what the rest of Pittsburgh commands. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.8/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.5/10.

Court records carry 700 eviction filings across 7 observed years. The worst year on record was 2002, when 33.6% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Pittsburgh. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 24.5% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.7 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.