Blackridge Eviction Risk: Elevated , Churchill

It sits 2.5 points above the Allegheny County average of 5.0. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

At $732 a month, rents run 29% under what the rest of Wilkinsburg commands. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.8/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,179 filings here across 7 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2003, when 15.2% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Pittsburgh. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 12.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.9 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.